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WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION
THE EVOLVING THREAT IN THE 21ST CENTURY

Others pages in this series:
Introduction
What are WMD?
Nuclear Weapons
Atomic History
Biological Weapons
Chemical Weapons

CHEMICAL WEAPONS

Prepared by Laura Reed, Security Studies Program, MIT, Cambridge, MA, USA

Chemical weapons use toxic chemicals to kill, injure or incapacitate an enemy. Chemical weapons can be produced relatively easily and the equipment required is widely available. Aside from black market production, there are roughly 6,000 industrial chemical facilities worldwide where chemical weapons potentially can be produced or from which the ingredients to make chemical weapons can be acquired.

Chemical weapons have existed for thousands of years, from the earliest use of poison arrows, toxic smoke and other deadly tactics in warfare. The major development came in the early part of the twentieth century, when new manufacturing techniques and more sophisticated delivery systems changed the scope of chemical warfare by inflicting devastating casualties on a massive scale. During World War I, chemical weapons were widely used on the battlefield, causing as many as 100,000 deaths and over one million injuries. Over the course of World War II and during the Cold War, major powers developed enormous arsenals of chemical weapons that included large quantities of a more lethal variety of so-called nerve gas. The United States and Russia possess the largest and most lethal CW stockpiles. Iraq’s use of chemical weapons in the Iran-Iraq war in the 1980s and the terrorist poison gas attack in the Tokyo underground railway by the cult Aum Shinrikyo in 1995 provide chilling and relatively recent examples of the indiscriminate and inhumane effects of these weapons.

Today, 175 nations have signed an international treaty prohibiting the development, stockpiling or use of chemical weapons. This agreement reflects a consensus view opposing the use of chemical weapons and commits states to destroying all existing arsenals. Although behind schedule, states are slowly undertaking to neutralize and dismantle their declared CW. Nonetheless, large stockpiles remain, containing over 71,000 metric tons of extremely toxic chemical agents. In addition, a handful of states are suspected of maintaining secret CW stockpiles and are believed to be pursuing ongoing research programs, including: North Korea, Israel, Iran, China, Syria, and Egypt.

In evaluating the risks posed by chemical weapons, two important dimensions merit scrutiny. First, many of these agents or precursors have important commercial uses and are available on the open market from a large number of production facilities. In addition, it is relatively easy to develop and store chemical weapons in secrecy. The availability of chemical ingredients and the potential for undetected clandestine manufacture and storage make the chemical industry especially vulnerable as a target of terrorism. According to the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO), at least 123 separate chemical facilities operating in the United States are vulnerable to attacks that could each result in one million civilian casualties. Despite this threat, however, the chemical industry has largely been spared intense public scrutiny because there has not been a major chemical accident since the chemical catastrophe in Bhopal, India in 1984. In that incident, an accidental explosion at a Union Carbide plant released chlorine gas that killed roughly 5,000 people and injured thousands more.

Types of Chemical Weapons:

Chemical weapons agents can maim and kill humans in different ways, depending on their specific toxic effects and how they enter the body. There is continuing debate over whether chemical weapons should be defined as a mass casualty weapon because the poisonous effects of chemical weapons--by inhalation, ingestion or contact with the skin--is more likely to be limited in scope than a nuclear blast or the spread of germ warfare. Nonetheless, it is now possible to develop large quantities of highly toxic chemicals that can be dispersed over great distances in a way that will kill large populations.

To date, roughly 70 varieties of toxic chemicals have been used or stockpiled for use in warfare. These chemical agents fall into four major classes or types:

Choking or Pulmonary agents, such as phosgene, or chlorine gas, attack lung tissue and cause respiratory distress and asphyxiation.

Blister agents, or vesicants, including mustard gas and Lewisite, cause blisters on the skin and in the respiratory tract that can result in death, or long-term debilitating injuries, including respiratory damage and blindness.

Blood agents, such as cyanide or cyanogen chloride, can kill humans by interfering with the body’s oxygen supply.

Nerve agents, such as Tabun, Sarin, Soman, and VX are lethal in the most minute quantities, causing rapid death by incapacitating the body’s central nervous system.

For a comprehensive listing of the characteristics of known chemical agents, see the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) website which provides information on characteristics and related resources, including emergency preparedness, surveillance, and response: http://www.bt.cdc.gov/Agent/agentlistchem.asp

Thirteen countries are believed to possess chemical weapons and six of these states have pledged to eliminate declared stockpiles under a global chemical weapons ban treaty, known as the Chemical Weapons Convention. For a comprehensive overview and history of the use of chemical weapons in warfare and the regulation of dangerous chemical agents, see: http://www.opcw.org

History of Chemical Weapons

In contrast to other WMD, it is notable how little the technology of chemical warfare has changed over the past half-century. Perhaps the most significant developments are the increasingly sophisticated manufacturing facilities available and improved techniques for CW dispersal (generally using explosives and aerosols). While the most common military delivery systems include artillery shells, bombs, spray tanks, missiles, rockets, grenades, and mines, other methods of distribution, such as crop-dusting aircraft, pesticide foggers, and aerosol sprays have also been developed.

From a technological and military perspective, the most significant advances in chemical warfare occurred during the two World Wars. Germany was the first to use chemical weapons on the battlefield during World War I and, during that conflict, phosgene and sulphur mustard (a blistering agent) caused some 100,000 deaths and over one million injuries. At the time, some senior military officials argued that chemical weapons were a more humane form of killing on the battlefield because of the weapons’ relatively fast and deadly effects. During World War II, Nazi Germany developed and manufactured large quantities of newly discovered nerve agents, but refrained from using them against Allied forces. The Nazis used the insecticide Zyklon B to kill large numbers of Jews and other victims in concentration camps during the Holocaust. Widespread public horror over the use of chemical weaponry as well as fears of retaliation in kind have, at least some degree, curbed the use of chemical weapons.

The general taboo against the use of chemical weapons in warfare holds to this day, despite the existence of enormous aging stockpiles. There are a few notable exceptions that merit attention. Although defined as an herbicide rather than a chemical weapon, the United States used a defoliant called Agent Orange during the Vietnam War which contained the cancer-causing agent, dioxin. In early 1984, a United Nations investigation team found that Iraq had used chemical weapons in the Iran-Iraq war, and that at least some of the precursor chemicals and materials for its CW program had been purchased through legitimate trade channels. In 1987, Libya used chemical weapons against Chadian troops. In 1988, Iraq carried out chemical attacks in northern Iraq that killed roughly one hundred thousand Kurds; since the attacks, thousands more Kurds have developed skin cancers, degenerative nerve conditions, and birth defects.

Several criminal and terrorist uses of chemical weapons have occurred over the past several decades, but perhaps the most notable was, as mentioned above, the development and use of chemical weapons by the Japanese cult Aum Shinrikyo. In 1995, members of this cult used the nerve agent Sarin in an attack on the Tokyo subway. Twelve people died and 5,000 were injured.

The Chemical Weapons Convention

The Chemical Weapons Convention, or CWC, prohibits the development, production, stockpiling, acquisition, or transfer of chemical weapons. A remarkable accomplishment, the CWC is the first disarmament agreement negotiated within a multilateral framework that provides for the elimination of an entire category of weapons of mass destruction under universally applied international control. Notably, the treaty not only outlaws the use of chemical weapons, but commits nations to eliminating existing stockpiles of these weapons. This work is carried on under the auspices of the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) which oversees verification and inspection efforts. http://www.opcw.org/

The CWC entered into force in April 1997 and now has 175 signatories. The CWC is unique because it provides for the international verification of the destruction of these weapons and was negotiated with the active participation of the global chemical industry, thus ensuring industry’s ongoing cooperation with the CWC’s industrial verification regime. The Convention mandates the inspection of industrial facilities to ensure that toxic chemicals are used exclusively for purposes not prohibited by the Convention.

Nonetheless, many believe that the threat posed by chemical weapons has not diminished significantly for three main reasons: a handful of nations suspected of possessing chemical weapons have refused to sign on to the treaty (notably, North Korea, Israel, Syria, Taiwan and Egypt); the vast majority of chemical weapons have not yet been destroyed; and the widespread availability of the precursors and technologies underlying chemical weapons. In response to ongoing fears about the spread of chemical weapons, a group of countries (known as the Australia Group) has established export controls to regulate chemical precursors and coordinate policies regarding current industry practices. http://www.australiagroup.net/index_en.htm

Over the past decade, the United States and Russia have undertaken to destroy their vast, aging stockpiles of chemical weapons. However, the destruction of chemical weapons requires significant financial resources and presents enormous operational and technical complexities. The variety of weapons to be destroyed, daunting technical challenges, program management issues, and community concerns over public health and environmental risks have contributed to delayed progress. Over 65,000 tons of deadly chemical weapons await destruction in Russia and the United States. In the United States, the demilitarization program is now underway at eight facilities, but much work remains. As of the end of 2005, the United States had destroyed just 36 percent of its original stockpile while Russia had destroyed only about 3 percent of its stockpile. In addition, thousands more chemical weapons sit in abandoned or uncharted dumps that date back to the Second World War.

Overall, nations with chemical weapons stockpiles have lagged behind in destroying them as scheduled by the Chemical Weapons Convention: of the 70,000 metric tons of declared weapons agents, the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) has verified the destruction of only 12,000 tons. If the current pace persists, the Convention’s goal to complete the destruction of chemical weapons stockpiles will not be met by the extended deadline of 2012.

While much remains to be accomplished, the Chemical Weapons Treaty marks a major milestone in terms of progress toward demilitarization. At the first review conference on implementing the CWT, leaders assessed it as follows: “The Chemical Weapons Convention performs a vital confidence-building role in international society. Reinforced by effective national legislation, the CWC enables its States parties to satisfy themselves that others are not seeking to acquire such weapons. The Convention thus serves a practical goal of enhancing security, a moral goal of eliminating one of the world’s most cruel and inhumane weapons, and a political goal of establishing a common forum for reaffirming and strengthening the global taboo on such weapons.”

Useful Links:

The Arms Control Association (ACA), a nonprofit based in Washington, DC, provides documents, news analyses, and fact sheets on chemical weapons issues. http://www.armscontrol.org/subject/cw/

The Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS) of the Monterey Institute of International Studies provides educational information, news updates (called ChemBio-WMD Terrorism News) and additional links. http://cns.miis.edu/research/cbw/tech.htm

The Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI) maintains an extensive website with a variety of resources, including updates on the progress of chemical weapons assistance and state programs. http://www.nti.org

The Center for Defense Information (CDI) offers information on the chemical weapons convention and technical issues. http://www.cdi.org/issues/cbw/chem.html

For a chronology of the Chemical Weapons Convention, see the Federation of American Scientists (FAS). http://www.fas.org/nuke/control/cwc/chron.htm

The National Library of Medicine, sponsored by NIH, gives information and links on classes of chemical weapons, environmental and health effects, and emergency response. http://www.sis.nlm.nih.gov/enviro/chemicalwarfare.html

The Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) provides a variety of resources, including documents and updates on adherence and verification of the Treaty. http://www.opcw.org

The U.S. Defense Threat Reduction Program provides information on the military features of chemical weapon agents and the status of U.S. efforts to dismantle its stockpile. http://dtirp.dtra.mil/CBW/References/Agents/AgentsCW.asp
http://dtirp.dtra.mil/CBW/References/progress.asp

For information on the eight U.S. Army installations currently storing chemical agents and progress of the U.S. chemical demilitarization program, see the Chemical Materials Agency (CMA). http://www.cma.army.mil/

The Legacy Program of Global Green, an international environmental group working for the safe and timely cleanup of existing CW stockpiles, maintains updates on programs to demilitarize stockpiles in the Former Soviet Union through the U.S. Cooperative Threat Reduction Program. http://www.globalgreen.org/programs/weapons.html

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